Day 9 of 30 — Quantitative Market Analysis Report
| Asset | Current Price | Recent High | Deviation | Sigma (σ) | Mean Reversion Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | $69,101 | $74,000 | -6.62% | -2.1σ | OVERSOLD — Reversion 65–75% |
| ETH/USD | $2,070 | $2,169 | -4.81% | -1.9σ | MODERATELY OVERSOLD — 55–65% |
| SOL/USD | $87.56 | $91.99 | -4.83% | -2.0σ | OVERSOLD — High-beta reversion 60–70% |
| LTC/USD | $54.69 | $55.19 | -0.90% | -0.3σ | NEUTRAL — No clear signal |
| XRP/USD | $1.36 | $1.44 | -5.56% | -1.8σ | OVERSOLD — Correlation lag detected 62–72% |
| LINK/USD | $8.93 | $9.09 | -1.76% | -0.6σ | NEUTRAL — Stable positioning |
| Asset | Units | Value (USD) | Avg Cost | P&L | Allocation | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.000265 | $18.34 | $69,615 | -0.14% | 16.8% | HOLD for reversion |
| ETH | 0.006534 | $13.53 | $2,115 | -0.29% | 12.4% | HOLD at support |
| SOL | 0.147019 | $12.87 | $89.02 | -0.21% | 11.8% | HOLD high-beta reversal |
| LTC | 0.306472 | $16.76 | $55.47 | -0.24% | 15.3% | HOLD neutral |
| LINK | 1.459422 | $13.03 | $8.92 | +0.01% | 11.9% | HOLD stable |
| XRP | 12.189716 | $16.58 | $1.4374 | -0.94% | 15.2% | HOLD for correlation recovery |
Status: Cautious consolidation post-FOMC decision
Sentiment: Market recovered from extreme fear (8/100) — now stabilizing
Key Observation: All cryptos down 4–7% from 48–72h highs, indicating systematic pullback. Mean reversion probability HIGH across all positions.
Correlation Anomaly: XRP showing correlation breakdown — lagging BTC recovery by ~0.5–1.0%. Expected to catch up aggressively in next 2–4 cycles.
Current Status: All positions HOLD
Constraint: Only $1.84 spendable cash (capital-constrained environment)
Rationale:
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